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Republican · U.S. Senate

Michele Tafoya

Michele Tafoya is the Republican nominee in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race. $5.3M raised, $4.0M spent and $1.4M cash through Jul 22, 2026. Polymarket prices a win at 12%. Forecasters rate the race Likely D.

$5.3Mraised
$4.0Mspent
$1.4Mcash on hand
12%Polymarket win price
Likely Drace consensus
Campaign finance$5.3M raised
Raised$5.3M
Spent$4.0M
Cash on hand$1.4M
Campaign finance
MeasureAmount
Raised (total receipts)$5,337,942
Spent (disbursements)$3,965,545
Cash on hand$1,372,728
Debts owed by campaign$294,847
Filing covers throughJul 22, 2026

Reported Self-reported to the FEC.

Where the money comes fromindividuals, PACs, party, self
Individual donors 88%PACs and other committees 3%Party committees 1%Candidate's own money 0%Other (refunds, transfers, loans) 7%
Funding mix
Source of moneyAmountShare of receipts
Individual donors$4,722,98688.5%
PACs and other committees$167,0003.1%
Party committees$62,0001.2%
Candidate's own money$7,8780.1%
Other (refunds, transfers, loans)$378,0787.1%
Donor portrait57% small gifts
57%of individual money came in gifts of $200 or less
56%of itemized money came from donors in MN
Nulltop named employer of donors

By gift size

Individual contributions by size
Gift sizeTotalShare
$200 and under$2,942,12257%
$200.01 to $499.99$374,2007%
$500 to $999.99$261,1545%
$1,000 to $1,999.99$321,0036%
$2,000 and up$1,240,26724%

By state

Where itemized donors live
StateItemized individual moneyShare
MN$1,510,00056%
FL$205,5268%
CA$150,4656%
TX$127,1775%
WA$54,4302%
IL$42,0592%

By employer

Top employers
Employer named by donorsTotal
Null$72,025
Veit$14,000
Incentive Services$11,500
Duininck$10,000
Idi Distributors$9,000
Ion Corporation$8,000
Kln Family Brands$8,000
King Capital Llc$7,116

By occupation

Top occupations
Occupation named by donorsTotal
Ceo$137,798
Owner$89,416
President$64,299
Null$64,075
Executive$39,158
Attorney$30,569
Investor$28,013
Manager$27,146

Reported FEC itemized contributions this cycle, fetched 2026-10-15. Itemized means a donor gave over $200 in total. Employer and occupation are what donors report about themselves; “retired”, “homemaker”, “self-employed” and similar non-answers are left out of the employer and occupation lists. It describes who gave, not who votes for the candidate.

This raceLikely D, 4 candidates

Forecasters rate this race Likely D Estimate

Peggy Flanagan · Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–LaborMarisa Simonetti · Independent politicianRebecca Whiting · Libertarian

Minnesota Senate race: full ratings and odds · Minnesota ballot · All Senate races

Public attention135,491 views in 30 days
135,491Wikipedia views, last 30 days
Michele Tafoya74%
Peggy Flanagan26%
Attention in this race
CandidateViews, 30 daysShare
Michele Tafoya135,49174%
Peggy Flanagan46,83126%

Reported Views of Michele Tafoya on English Wikipedia, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Views show curiosity, not support.

Elsewhere: Wikipedia · Wikidata · links matched through Wikidata and checked against the member or candidate record

Sources and methodWikipedia, FEC, Polymarket

Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Money: official FEC record. Odds: Polymarket.