Arizona governor race 2026
Katie Hobbs is the incumbent. Forecasters rate it Lean D. Polymarket prices Democrats at 88% and Republicans at 10%.
Candidates4 listed
| Candidate for governor | Running mate | Party | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs | John Giles | Democratic | incumbent |
| Andy Biggs | Sine Kerr | Republican | nominee |
| Risa Lombardo | Lisa Castillo | Arizona Green | nominee |
| Teri Ann Hourihan | Angela Harrolle Mohan | No Labels | nominee |
Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Governor races are funded under state law, so campaign money is filed with the state, not the FEC; we do not show it yet.
Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket
Consensus (median of 7): Lean D Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Lean D | 2026-10-01 | |
| Inside Elections | Tilt D | 2026-10-01 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | 2026-10-06 | |
| Decision Desk HQ | Lean D | 2026-10-11 | |
| Fox News | Lean D | 2026-10-06 | |
| RealClearPolitics | Lean D | 2026-10-05 | |
| Silver Bulletin | Likely D | 2026-10-11 |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 88.5% · Republican 10.5% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $136,525, snapshot 2026-10-15. View the market · About Polymarket