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MI ยท Governor

Michigan governor race 2026

There is no incumbent in this race. Forecasters rate it Lean D. Polymarket prices Democrats at 95% and Republicans at 5%.

Lean Dforecaster consensus
D 95 / R 5Polymarket
5candidates listed
Candidates5 listed
Candidates
Candidate for governorRunning matePartyStatus
Jocelyn BensonWinnie BrinksDemocraticnominee
John JamesJay DeBoyerRepublicannominee
Anthony HudsonBeau ParmenterLibertarian Party of Michigannominee
Donna BrandenburgRobert Cowper IIConstitutionnominee
Douglas CampbellBobbie ClayGreen Party of Michigannominee

Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Governor races are funded under state law, so campaign money is filed with the state, not the FEC; we do not show it yet.

Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket

Consensus (median of 7): Lean D Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportLean D2026-10-01
Inside ElectionsTilt D2026-10-01
Sabato's Crystal BallLean D2026-10-06
Decision Desk HQLikely D2026-10-13
Fox NewsLean D2026-10-06
RealClearPoliticsLean D2026-10-05
Silver BulletinLikely D2026-10-11

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

Prediction market

Democratic 95.2% · Republican 4.8% Estimate

Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $309,389, snapshot 2026-10-15. View the market · About Polymarket