New Hampshire governor race 2026
Kelly Ayotte is the incumbent. Forecasters rate it Likely R. Polymarket prices Democrats at 6% and Republicans at 93%.
Candidates3 listed
| Candidate for governor | Running mate | Party | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cinde Warmington | — | Democratic | nominee |
| Kelly Ayotte | — | Republican | incumbent |
| Stephen Villee | — | Libertarian | nominee |
Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Governor races are funded under state law, so campaign money is filed with the state, not the FEC; we do not show it yet.
Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket
The ratings are two or more steps apart (for example, Toss-up to Likely).
Consensus (median of 7): Likely R Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Likely R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R | 2026-10-06 | |
| Decision Desk HQ | Lean R | 2026-10-11 | |
| Fox News | Likely R | 2026-10-06 | |
| RealClearPolitics | Lean R | 2026-10-05 | |
| Silver Bulletin | Safe R | 2026-10-13 |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 5.8% · Republican 93.0% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $47,948, snapshot 2026-10-15. Thin market: small trades can move the price. View the market · About Polymarket