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AL-03 ยท Alabama

Alabama's 3rd district: 2026 House race

Alabama's 3rd district is held by Mike Rogers (Republican). Mike Rogers leads in reported fundraising with $2.1M. Forecasters rate it Safe R.

2candidates in the race
$2.2Mraised by candidates in the race
REPincumbent party
Safe Rforecaster consensus
Candidates and money2 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Mike RogersREPIncumbent$2.1M$1.5M$2.6M
Lee McInnisDEMChallenger$61K$29K$9,462

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)1
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Terri LapointREPChallenger$15K$15K$5

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 5): Safe R Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportSafe R2025-02-06dated
Inside ElectionsSafe R2025-03-07dated
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe R2025-07-15dated
Decision Desk HQSafe R2026-07-14dated
The EconomistSafe R2026-05-07dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)new map
The map changed

Alabama redrew its congressional map for 2026. These results are for the district with the same number under the old lines, so they do not describe the new territory.

Mike Rogers ran unopposed, with 243,848 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mike RogersRepublican243,848100.0%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population726,115
Median age39.8
Median household income$60,293 ±$1,017
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more24.1%
White, not Hispanic71.0%
Black, not Hispanic19.6%
Asian, not Hispanic1.5%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)4.0%
Homes lived in by their owners72.9%
People below the poverty line16.8%
Born outside the U.S.3.3%

Heads up: Alabama drew a new congressional map for 2026. These figures describe the old district lines, so they will not match the people who vote in this race.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race1 candidate with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Mike RogersREP4,405100%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page3/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 09/30/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it5 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultPartialold map: the state redrew its districts
Financial disclosuresMissing0 of 2 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

Nearbystate and neighboring districts