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IA-01 ยท Iowa

Iowa's 1st district: 2026 House race

Iowa's 1st district is held by Mariannette Miller-Meeks (Republican). Mariannette Miller-Meeks leads in reported fundraising with $7.2M. Forecasters rate it Lean D.

3candidates in the race
$14.4Mraised by candidates in the race
REPincumbent party
Lean Dforecaster consensus
Candidates and money3 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Mariannette Miller-MeeksREPIncumbent$7.2M$2.9M$4.7M
Christina BohannanDEMChallenger$7.1M$1.7M$5.4M
Michael BridgfordINDChallenger$190K$65K$125K

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)3
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Taylor WettachDEMChallenger$698K$698K$0
David Alfred PautschREPChallenger$58K$65K$0
Travis TerrellDEMChallenger$21K$15K$5,007

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 5): Lean D Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportLean D2026-10-09flip from current holder
Inside ElectionsTilt D2026-10-01flip from current holder
Sabato's Crystal BallLean D2026-09-22flip from current holder
Decision Desk HQLikely D2026-09-25flip from current holder
Silver BulletinLean D2026-08-20flip from current holder, dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)unopposed

Christina Bohannan ran unopposed, with 206,157 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Christina BohannanDemocratic206,157100.0%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population800,735
Median age38.9
Median household income$73,680 ±$909
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more32.8%
White, not Hispanic83.3%
Black, not Hispanic4.1%
Asian, not Hispanic2.3%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)6.0%
Homes lived in by their owners71.6%
People below the poverty line12.0%
Born outside the U.S.4.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race2 candidates with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Mariannette Miller-MeeksREP14,78862%
Christina BohannanDEM9,12538%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page4/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 06/30/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it5 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultHave itsame district lines
Financial disclosuresMissing0 of 3 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

Nearbystate and neighboring districts