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NY-07 · New York

New York's 7th district: 2026 House race

New York's 7th district has no incumbent running. Claire Valdez leads in reported fundraising with $1.7M. Forecasters rate it Safe D.

2candidates in the race
$1.7Mraised by candidates in the race
Openno incumbent filed
Safe Dforecaster consensus
Candidates and money2 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Claire ValdezDEMOpen seat$1.7M$1.5M$207K
Priscilla GhaznaviINDOpen seat$39K$12K$28K

Also on the November ballot, with no FEC campaign record on file: Melvin Rivera (Republican).

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)5
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Antonio ReynosoDEMOpen seat$1.0M$994K$19K
Julie Jaehee WonDEMOpen seat$989K$884K$105K
Vichal KumarDEMOpen seat$191K$165K$26K
Nydia M. VelazquezDEMIncumbent$180K$259K$81K
Evan Hale HutchisonDEMChallenger$15K$15K$1,225

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 4): Safe D Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportSafe D2025-02-06dated
Inside ElectionsSafe D2025-03-07dated
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe D2025-09-18dated
Decision Desk HQSafe D2026-07-14dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)D +54.2

Nydia Velázquez won by 54.2 points, with 188,193 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Nydia VelázquezDemocratic145,14177.1%
William KreglerRepublican43,05222.9%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population753,548
Median age33.9
Median household income$88,575 ±$2,409
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more44.6%
White, not Hispanic37.5%
Black, not Hispanic10.1%
Asian, not Hispanic12.2%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)34.8%
Homes lived in by their owners22.4%
People below the poverty line18.2%
Born outside the U.S.33.1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Data on this page4/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 09/30/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it4 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultHave itsame district lines
Financial disclosuresPartial1 of 2 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

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