Florida governor race 2026
There is no incumbent in this race. Forecasters rate it Lean R. Polymarket prices Democrats at 20% and Republicans at 80%.
Candidates9 listed
| Candidate for governor | Running mate | Party | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Jolly | — | Democratic | nominee |
| Byron Donalds | — | Republican | nominee |
| Bryan Avila | — | n/a | nominee |
| Charles Burkett<br />Ruben A. Coto | — | Independent | nominee |
| Dean Ocean Abrams<br />Joe Van Victor | — | Independent | nominee |
| Frank J. Russo<br />Rachel Rodriguez | — | Independent | nominee |
| Jeffrey Peter Datto<br />Juan Santana | — | Independent | nominee |
| Moliere Dimanche | — | Independent | nominee |
| Scott Eckhard Jewett<br />Nicole Skelly | — | Libertarian Party of Florida | nominee |
Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Governor races are funded under state law, so campaign money is filed with the state, not the FEC; we do not show it yet.
Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket
The ratings are two or more steps apart (for example, Toss-up to Likely).
Consensus (median of 7): Lean R Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Lean R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Inside Elections | Lean R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | 2026-10-06 | |
| Decision Desk HQ | Lean R | 2026-10-11 | |
| Fox News | Likely R | 2026-10-06 | |
| RealClearPolitics | Toss-up | 2026-10-05 | |
| Silver Bulletin | Lean R | 2026-10-11 |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 20.5% · Republican 79.5% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $296,729, snapshot 2026-10-15. View the market · About Polymarket