Oklahoma governor race 2026
There is no incumbent in this race. Forecasters rate it Safe R. Polymarket prices Democrats at 8% and Republicans at 90%.
Candidates12 listed
| Candidate for governor | Running mate | Party | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arya Azma | — | Oklahoma Democratic | candidate |
| Constance Johnson | — | Oklahoma Democratic | candidate |
| Cyndi Munson | — | Oklahoma Democratic | candidate |
| Calup Anthony Taylor | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
| Charles McCall | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
| Chip Keating | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
| Gentner Drummond | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
| Jake A. Merrick | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
| Jennifer Domenico | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
| Kenneth Sturgell | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
| Leisa Mitchell Haynes | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
| Mike Mazzei | — | Oklahoma Republican | candidate |
Nominees for this race are still being verified, so the list may include candidates who did not advance.
Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Governor races are funded under state law, so campaign money is filed with the state, not the FEC; we do not show it yet.
Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket
Consensus (median of 7): Safe R Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Likely R | 2026-10-13 | |
| Inside Elections | Likely R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | 2026-10-06 | |
| Decision Desk HQ | Safe R | 2026-10-11 | |
| Fox News | Safe R | 2026-10-06 | |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe R | 2026-10-05 | |
| Silver Bulletin | Likely R | 2026-10-11 |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 8.5% · Republican 89.5% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $44,560, snapshot 2026-10-15. Thin market: small trades can move the price. View the market · About Polymarket