Oklahoma U.S. Senate race 2026
Forecasters rate it Safe R. Polymarket prices Democrats at 2% and Republicans at 97%.
Candidates5 listed
| Candidate | Party | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas | Democratic | nominee | $107K | $81K | $27K | FEC |
| Kevin Hern | Republican | nominee | $10.0M | $7.5M | $2.5M | FEC |
| Curtis Stinnett | Independent politician | nominee | — | — | — | — |
| Ron Meinhardt | Independent politician | nominee | $8,713 | $8,551 | $162 | FEC |
| Sevier White | Libertarian | nominee | — | — | — | — |
Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Money is from FEC filings through each candidate’s latest report. This race on FEC.gov
Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket
Consensus (median of 10): Safe R Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Safe R | 2026-10-06 | |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | 2026-10-06 | |
| Decision Desk HQ | Safe R | 2026-10-07 | |
| Split Ticket | Safe R | 2026-10-07 | |
| The Economist | Safe R | 2026-10-07 | |
| FiftyPlusOne | Safe R | 2026-10-07 | |
| Fox News | Safe R | 2026-10-06 | |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe R | 2026-10-05 | |
| Silver Bulletin | Safe R | 2026-10-07 |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 2.1% · Republican 97.2% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $26,687, snapshot 2026-10-15. Thin market: small trades can move the price. View the market · About Polymarket