Tennessee governor race 2026
There is no incumbent in this race. Forecasters rate it Safe R. Polymarket prices Democrats at 6% and Republicans at 94%.
Candidates8 listed
| Candidate for governor | Running mate | Party | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Kurtz | — | Democratic | candidate |
| Carnita Atwater | — | Democratic | candidate |
| Jerri Green | — | Democratic | candidate |
| Kevin Lee McCants | — | Democratic | candidate |
| Tim Cyr | — | Democratic | candidate |
| John Rose | — | Republican | candidate |
| Marsha Blackburn | — | Republican | candidate |
| Monty Fritts | — | Republican | candidate |
Nominees for this race are still being verified, so the list may include candidates who did not advance.
Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Governor races are funded under state law, so campaign money is filed with the state, not the FEC; we do not show it yet.
Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket
Consensus (median of 7): Safe R Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Safe R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | 2026-10-06 | |
| Decision Desk HQ | Likely R | 2026-10-11 | |
| Fox News | Safe R | 2026-10-06 | |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe R | 2026-10-05 | |
| Silver Bulletin | Safe R | 2026-10-11 |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 5.6% · Republican 94.3% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $17,993, snapshot 2026-10-15. Thin market: small trades can move the price. View the market · About Polymarket