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LA-03 ยท Louisiana

Louisiana's 3rd district: 2026 House race

Louisiana's 3rd district is held by Clay Captain Higgins (Republican). Clay Captain Higgins leads in reported fundraising with $823K. Forecasters rate it Safe R.

3candidates on file
$853Kraised by all candidates
REPincumbent party
Safe Rforecaster consensus
Candidates and money3 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Clay Captain HigginsREPIncumbent$823K$552K$595K
John David DayDEMChallenger$23K$16K$7,385
Tia Marie LebrunNPAChallenger$6,968$4,102$3,465

Nominees for this race are still being verified, so every FEC filer is listed.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 4): Safe R Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportSafe R2025-03-13dated
Inside ElectionsSafe R2025-03-07dated
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe R2025-07-15dated
Decision Desk HQSafe R2026-07-14dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population770,787
Median age37.8
Median household income$62,445 ±$1,223
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more24.4%
White, not Hispanic65.8%
Black, not Hispanic21.1%
Asian, not Hispanic1.6%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)6.1%
Homes lived in by their owners70.9%
People below the poverty line17.6%
Born outside the U.S.3.8%

Heads up: Louisiana drew a new congressional map for 2026. These figures describe the old district lines, so they will not match the people who vote in this race.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race1 candidate with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Clay Captain HigginsREP6,820100%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page2/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesMissingstill being verified; every filer is shown
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 07/18/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it4 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultMissingnot available
Financial disclosuresMissing0 of 3 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

Nearbystate and neighboring districts