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MN-02 · Minnesota

Minnesota's 2nd district: 2026 House race

Minnesota's 2nd district has no incumbent running. Matt Little leads in reported fundraising with $923K. Forecasters rate it Likely D.

2candidates in the race
$1.4Mraised by candidates in the race
Openno incumbent filed
Likely Dforecaster consensus
Candidates and money2 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Matt LittleDFLOpen seat$923K$796K$128K
Eric PrattREPOpen seat$511K$257K$254K

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)6
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Angela Dawn CraigDEMIncumbent$1.4M$1.4M$0
Matthew David KleinDEMOpen seat$1.2M$927K$289K
Kaela Jo BergDFLOpen seat$434K$434K$0
Tyler KistnerREPOpen seat$432K$432K-$150
Hugh McTavishDFLOpen seat$189K$184K$5,113
Jeremy WestbyREPChallenger$39K$39K$0

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 4): Likely D Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportLikely D2025-04-30dated
Inside ElectionsLikely D2025-12-05dated
Sabato's Crystal BallLikely D2026-03-26dated
Decision Desk HQSafe D2026-10-01

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)Craig +13.5

Angie Craig won by 13.5 points, with 416,864 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Angie CraigMinnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor231,75155.6%
Joe TeirabRepublican175,62142.1%
Tom Bowman 'Constitutional conservative9,4922.3%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population730,253
Median age38.1
Median household income$108,849 ±$1,075
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more43.5%
White, not Hispanic74.3%
Black, not Hispanic6.8%
Asian, not Hispanic5.5%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)8.1%
Homes lived in by their owners77.9%
People below the poverty line5.5%
Born outside the U.S.9.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race2 candidates with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Matt LittleDFL2,70264%
Eric PrattREP1,49936%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page5/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 07/22/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it4 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultHave itsame district lines
Financial disclosuresHave it2 of 2 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

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