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MS-02 ยท Mississippi

Mississippi's 2nd district: 2026 House race

Mississippi's 2nd district is held by Bennie Thompson (Democratic). Bennie Thompson leads in reported fundraising with $928K. Forecasters rate it Safe D.

2candidates in the race
$992Kraised by candidates in the race
DEMincumbent party
Safe Dforecaster consensus
Candidates and money2 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Bennie ThompsonDEMIncumbent$928K$1.2M$1.4M
Ron EllerREPChallenger$64K$63K$38K

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)2
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Evan TurnageDEMChallenger$473K$473K$26
Kevin WilsonREPChallenger$280K$280K-$16

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 4): Safe D Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportSafe D2025-03-13dated
Inside ElectionsSafe D2025-03-07dated
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe D2025-07-15dated
Decision Desk HQSafe D2026-07-14dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)D +24.0

Bennie Thompson won by 24.0 points, with 286,841 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Bennie ThompsonDemocratic177,88562.0%
Ron EllerRepublican108,95638.0%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population713,085
Median age38.9
Median household income$44,511 ±$897
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more21.6%
White, not Hispanic31.2%
Black, not Hispanic63.6%
Asian, not Hispanic0.5%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)2.3%
Homes lived in by their owners63.6%
People below the poverty line25.8%
Born outside the U.S.1.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race1 candidate with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Bennie ThompsonDEM4,285100%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page4/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 09/30/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it4 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultHave itsame district lines
Financial disclosuresPartial1 of 2 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

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