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IN-05 ยท Indiana

Indiana's 5th district: 2026 House race

Indiana's 5th district is held by Victoria Spartz (Republican). Victoria Spartz leads in reported fundraising with $1.3M. Forecasters rate it Likely R.

2candidates in the race
$1.9Mraised by candidates in the race
REPincumbent party
Likely Rforecaster consensus
Candidates and money2 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Victoria SpartzREPIncumbent$1.3M$1.4M$230K
J.D. FordDEMChallenger$582K$267K$315K

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)4
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Dylan McKennaDEMChallenger$180K$178K$421
Phil GossDEMChallenger$135K$138K$0
Jackson Bailey FranklinDEMChallenger$65K$58K$8,653
Deborah A. PickettDEMChallenger$35K$39K$232

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 4): Likely R Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportLikely R2026-10-09
Inside ElectionsSafe R2025-03-07dated
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe R2025-07-15dated
Decision Desk HQLikely R2026-07-14dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)R +18.6

Victoria Spartz won by 18.6 points, with 359,204 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Victoria SpartzRepublican203,29356.6%
Deborah PickettDemocratic136,55438.0%
Robby SlaughterIndependent9,7902.7%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population773,191
Median age38.8
Median household income$81,223 ±$1,421
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more40.8%
White, not Hispanic81.1%
Black, not Hispanic5.1%
Asian, not Hispanic3.8%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)5.0%
Homes lived in by their owners72.7%
People below the poverty line10.4%
Born outside the U.S.6.0%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race2 candidates with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Victoria SpartzREP6,69462%
J.D. FordDEM4,15238%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page4/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 06/30/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it4 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultHave itsame district lines
Financial disclosuresPartial1 of 2 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

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