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NJ-07 ยท New Jersey

New Jersey's 7th district: 2026 House race

New Jersey's 7th district is held by Thomas Kean Jr. (Republican). Thomas Kean Jr. leads in reported fundraising with $4.9M. Forecasters rate it Lean D.

2candidates in the race
$9.2Mraised by candidates in the race
REPincumbent party
Lean Dforecaster consensus
Candidates and money2 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Thomas Kean Jr.REPIncumbent$4.9M$1.3M$3.6M
Rebecca BennettDEMChallenger$4.3M$2.8M$1.4M

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)8
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Tina ShahDEMChallenger$2.3M$2.2M$164K
Brian VarelaDEMChallenger$2.0M$2.0M-$13K
Michael RothDEMChallenger$1.3M$1.2M$40K
Megan O'RourkeDEMChallenger$571K$571K$0
Gregory Vartan IIIDEMChallenger$193K$221K$0
Beth Ellen Ph.d. AdubatoDEMChallenger$168K$165K$2,571
Sara SooyDEMChallenger$54K$54K$0
Lana LeguiaLIBChallenger$9,630$8,986$644

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 5): Lean D Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportLean D2026-09-25flip from current holder
Inside ElectionsTilt D2026-06-11flip from current holder, dated
Sabato's Crystal BallLean D2026-09-16flip from current holder
Decision Desk HQLikely D2026-09-17flip from current holder
Silver BulletinLikely D2026-08-23flip from current holder, dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)R +5.4

Thomas Kean Jr. won by 5.4 points, with 431,398 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Thomas Kean Jr.Republican223,33151.8%
Sue AltmanDemocratic200,02546.4%
Andrew BlackGreen4,2581.0%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population783,203
Median age43.6
Median household income$136,541 ±$1,843
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more55.0%
White, not Hispanic68.9%
Black, not Hispanic5.2%
Asian, not Hispanic8.2%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)13.3%
Homes lived in by their owners78.2%
People below the poverty line4.8%
Born outside the U.S.16.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race1 candidate with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Thomas Kean Jr.REP18,065100%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page4/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 06/30/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it5 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultHave itsame district lines
Financial disclosuresMissing0 of 2 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

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