New York's 13th district: 2026 House race
New York's 13th district has no incumbent running. Darializa Avila Chevalier leads in reported fundraising with $1.4M. Forecasters rate it Safe D.
Candidates and money1 on file
| Candidate | Party | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darializa Avila Chevalier | DEM | Challenger | $1.4M | $1.1M | $222K |
Also on the November ballot, with no FEC campaign record on file: Jomo Williams (Republican).
Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.
Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov
Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)3
| Candidate | Party | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriano Espaillat | DEM | Incumbent | $2.9M | $3.2M | $55K |
| Oscar Romero | DEM | Challenger | $20K | $20K | $31 |
| Jaliel Amador | DEM | Challenger | $5,699 | $5,699 | $0 |
They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.
Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race
Consensus (median of 4): Safe D Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Safe D | 2025-02-06 | dated |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | 2025-03-07 | dated |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | 2025-09-18 | dated |
| Decision Desk HQ | Safe D | 2026-07-14 | dated |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 96.5% · Republican 2.8% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $40,248, snapshot 2026-10-15. Thin market: small trades can move the price. View the market · About Polymarket
Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.
National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.
Last time (2024)D +70.0
Adriano Espaillat won by 70.0 points, with 213,871 votes counted.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adriano Espaillat | Democratic | 181,800 | 85.0% |
| Ruben Vargas | Republican | 32,071 | 15.0% |
Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.
Who lives hereCensus survey data
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Population | 778,141 |
| Median age | 37.5 |
| Median household income | $53,573 ±$1,861 |
| Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more | 35.9% |
| White, not Hispanic | 15.6% |
| Black, not Hispanic | 23.8% |
| Asian, not Hispanic | 5.3% |
| Hispanic or Latino (any race) | 51.3% |
| Homes lived in by their owners | 12.6% |
| People below the poverty line | 26.1% |
| Born outside the U.S. | 35.1% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.
Data on this page5/6 complete
| Data | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Nominees | Have it | listed on Wikipedia, matched to FEC |
| Campaign finance | Have it | FEC filings through 06/30/2026 |
| Forecaster ratings | Have it | 4 forecasters |
| Prediction market | Partial | Polymarket, volume $40K |
| 2024 result | Have it | same district lines |
| Financial disclosures | Have it | 1 of 1 candidates read |
So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.