South Carolina U.S. Senate race 2026
Darline Graham is the incumbent. Forecasters rate it Likely R. Polymarket prices Democrats at 16% and Republicans at 86%.
Candidates4 listed
| Candidate | Party | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Andrews | Democratic | nominee | $10.8M | $6.7M | $4.1M | FEC |
| Darline Graham | Republican | incumbent | $347K | $95K | $251K | FEC |
| Kasie Whitener | Libertarian | nominee | $26K | $22K | $4,351 | FEC |
| Mark Hackett | Constitution | nominee | — | — | — | — |
Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Money is from FEC filings through each candidate’s latest report. This race on FEC.gov
Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket
Consensus (median of 11): Likely R Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Likely R | 2026-10-06 | |
| Inside Elections | Likely R | 2026-10-01 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R | 2026-10-06 | |
| Decision Desk HQ | Lean R | 2026-10-07 | |
| Split Ticket | Likely R | 2026-10-07 | |
| The Economist | Lean R | 2026-10-07 | |
| FiftyPlusOne | Lean R | 2026-10-07 | |
| Fox News | Likely R | 2026-10-06 | |
| MS NOW | Likely R | 2026-09-16 | |
| RealClearPolitics | Lean R | 2026-10-05 | |
| Silver Bulletin | Likely R | 2026-10-07 |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 15.5% · Republican 85.5% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $794,600, snapshot 2026-10-15. View the market · About Polymarket