Michigan's 11th district: 2026 House race
Michigan's 11th district has no incumbent running. Jeremy Moss leads in reported fundraising with $1.5M. Forecasters rate it Safe D.
Candidates and money3 on file
| Candidate | Party | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Moss | DEM | Open seat | $1.5M | $1.1M | $353K |
| Anil Kumar | UN | Open seat | $713K | $307K | $408K |
| Ethan Baker | REP | Open seat | $142K | $22K | $121K |
Also on the November ballot, with no FEC campaign record on file: Farid Ishac (Libertarian), Ryan Teasdale (Green of the United States).
Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.
Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov
Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)7
| Candidate | Party | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Stevens | DEM | Incumbent | $1.6M | $2.3M | $0 |
| Don Ufford | DEM | Open seat | $1.0M | $729K | $290K |
| Aisha Farooqi | DEM | Open seat | $494K | $494K | $311 |
| John Paul Torres | DEM | Open seat | $152K | $151K | $269 |
| Mike Steger | REP | Open seat | $29K | $28K | $593 |
| Stu Baker | DEM | Open seat | $11K | $12K | $2,058 |
| Antonio J. Prieto | REP | Open seat | $9,000 | $8,959 | $41 |
They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.
Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race
Consensus (median of 5): Safe D Estimate
| Forecaster | Rating | Date listed | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Safe D | 2026-05-13 | dated |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | 2026-05-21 | dated |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | 2026-05-26 | dated |
| Decision Desk HQ | Safe D | 2026-07-14 | dated |
| The Economist | Safe D | 2026-05-22 | dated |
Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.
Prediction market
Democratic 95.5% · Republican 2.6% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $81,992, snapshot 2026-10-15. Thin market: small trades can move the price. View the market · About Polymarket
Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.
National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.
Last time (2024)D +18.6
Haley Stevens won by 18.6 points, with 447,925 votes counted.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Stevens | Democratic | 260,780 | 58.2% |
| Nick Somberg | Republican | 177,432 | 39.6% |
| Douglas Campbell | Green | 9,713 | 2.2% |
Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.
Who lives hereCensus survey data
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Population | 775,896 |
| Median age | 40.9 |
| Median household income | $93,271 ±$1,128 |
| Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more | 50.8% |
| White, not Hispanic | 67.1% |
| Black, not Hispanic | 12.7% |
| Asian, not Hispanic | 8.9% |
| Hispanic or Latino (any race) | 5.6% |
| Homes lived in by their owners | 70.2% |
| People below the poverty line | 8.8% |
| Born outside the U.S. | 14.4% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.
Public attention in this race1 candidate with an article
| Candidate | Party | Views, 30 days | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Moss | DEM | 2,677 | 100% |
Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.
Data on this page4/6 complete
| Data | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Nominees | Have it | listed on Wikipedia, matched to FEC |
| Campaign finance | Have it | FEC filings through 07/15/2026 |
| Forecaster ratings | Have it | 5 forecasters |
| Prediction market | Partial | Polymarket, volume $82K |
| 2024 result | Have it | same district lines |
| Financial disclosures | Partial | 2 of 3 candidates read |
So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.