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OH ยท U.s. senate

Ohio U.S. Senate special election race 2026

Jon Husted is the incumbent. Forecasters rate it Toss-up. Polymarket prices Democrats at 62% and Republicans at 38%.

Toss-upforecaster consensus
D 62 / R 38Polymarket
4candidates listed
$53.0Mraised by listed candidates
Candidates4 listed
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCashRecord
Sherrod BrownDemocraticnominee$38.6M$22.3M$16.2MFEC
Jon HustedRepublicanincumbent$14.4M$4.9M$9.4MFEC
Bill RedpathLibertariannominee$24K$23K$730FEC
Greg LevyIndependent politiciannominee$80K$56K$26KFEC

Reported Names, party and status as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Money is from FEC filings through each candidate’s latest report. This race on FEC.gov

Forecasts and ratingsforecaster median and Polymarket

Consensus (median of 12): Toss-up Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportToss-up2026-10-06
Inside ElectionsToss-up2026-10-01
Sabato's Crystal BallToss-up2026-10-06
Decision Desk HQToss-up2026-10-07
Split TicketLean D2026-10-07flip from current holder
The EconomistLean D2026-10-07flip from current holder
CBS NewsToss-up2026-10-06
FiftyPlusOneLean D2026-10-07flip from current holder
Fox NewsToss-up2026-10-06
MS NOWToss-up2026-09-16
RealClearPoliticsToss-up2026-10-05
Silver BulletinLean D2026-10-07flip from current holder

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

Prediction market

Democratic 61.5% · Republican 38.5% Estimate

Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $1,184,638, snapshot 2026-10-15. View the market · About Polymarket