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VA-07 ยท Virginia

Virginia's 7th district: 2026 House race

Virginia's 7th district is held by Eugene Vindman (Democratic). Eugene Vindman leads in reported fundraising with $12.4M. Forecasters rate it Likely D.

2candidates in the race
$12.6Mraised by candidates in the race
DEMincumbent party
Likely Dforecaster consensus
Candidates and money2 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Eugene VindmanDEMIncumbent$12.4M$5.9M$6.6M
Doug OllivantREPChallenger$251K$185K$66K

Also on the November ballot, with no FEC campaign record on file: Alaha Ahrar (Independent), Joshua Ertle (Independent), Taner Lopez (Libertarian), Randall Terry (Independent).

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)12
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Dorothy McAuliffeDEMChallenger$1.3M$558K$698K
Dan HelmerDEMChallenger$849K$514K$336K
Joseph Patrick CooneyDEMChallenger$642K$497K$145K
Tara Anne DurantREPChallenger$392K$290K$102K
John GrayREPChallenger$238K$238K$0
Joseph SchiarizziDEMChallenger$204K$204K$0
Philip A. HardingREPChallenger$126K$38K$88K
Adele McClureDEMChallenger$85K$79K$5,648
Elizabeth GuzmanDEMChallenger$72K$59K$13K
Waverly E. WashingtonREPChallenger$52K$52K$0
Darius MayfieldREPChallenger$35K$34K$663
Saddam SalimDEMChallenger$25K$25K$0

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 4): Likely D Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportLikely D2026-05-08dated
Inside ElectionsLikely D2026-05-21dated
Sabato's Crystal BallLikely D2026-05-08dated
Decision Desk HQLikely D2026-07-14dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

No Polymarket market was found for this race.

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)D +2.6

Eugene Vindman won by 2.6 points, with 396,183 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Eugene VindmanDemocratic203,33651.3%
Derrick AndersonRepublican192,84748.7%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population806,870
Median age37.0
Median household income$113,817 ±$1,332
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more37.7%
White, not Hispanic50.0%
Black, not Hispanic19.8%
Asian, not Hispanic5.2%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)17.9%
Homes lived in by their owners75.2%
People below the poverty line7.3%
Born outside the U.S.16.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race1 candidate with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Eugene VindmanDEM17,713100%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page5/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 07/15/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it4 forecasters
Prediction marketMissingno market found
2024 resultHave itsame district lines
Financial disclosuresHave it2 of 2 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

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