California's 14th district: 2026 House race
California's 14th district has no incumbent running. Melissa Hernandez leads in reported fundraising with $2.0M.
Candidates and money2 on file
| Candidate | Party | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Hernandez | DEM | Open seat | $2.0M | $1.9M | $81K |
| Aisha Wahab | DEM | Open seat | $874K | $641K | $233K |
Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.
Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov
Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)7
| Candidate | Party | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakhi Israni | DEM | Open seat | $2.4M | $2.4M | $2,003 |
| Eric Michael Swalwell | DEM | Incumbent | $1.7M | $2.0M | $11K |
| Wendy Fiona Huang | REP | Open seat | $41K | $35K | $6,332 |
| Sheriene Ridenour | DEM | Open seat | $39K | $199 | $38K |
| Matt Ortega | DEM | Open seat | $38K | $38K | $0 |
| Carin Elam | DEM | Open seat | $33K | $33K | $0 |
| Abrar Qadir | DEM | Open seat | $27K | $26K | -$17K |
They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.
Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race
No forecaster ratings are listed for this race.
Prediction market
Democratic 99.3% · Republican 0.2% Estimate
Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $43,212, snapshot 2026-10-15. Thin market: small trades can move the price. View the market · About Polymarket
Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.
National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.
Who lives hereCensus survey data
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Population | 738,570 |
| Median age | 40.2 |
| Median household income | $142,599 ±$2,746 |
| Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more | 48.1% |
| White, not Hispanic | 24.4% |
| Black, not Hispanic | 5.2% |
| Asian, not Hispanic | 39.3% |
| Hispanic or Latino (any race) | 24.9% |
| Homes lived in by their owners | 63.1% |
| People below the poverty line | 7.0% |
| Born outside the U.S. | 39.7% |
Heads up: California drew a new congressional map for 2026. These figures describe the old district lines, so they will not match the people who vote in this race.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.
Public attention in this race1 candidate with an article
| Candidate | Party | Views, 30 days | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aisha Wahab | DEM | 13,784 | 100% |
Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.
Data on this page2/6 complete
| Data | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Nominees | Have it | listed on Wikipedia, matched to FEC |
| Campaign finance | Have it | FEC filings through 09/07/2026 |
| Forecaster ratings | Missing | none listed |
| Prediction market | Partial | Polymarket, volume $43K |
| 2024 result | Missing | not available |
| Financial disclosures | Missing | 0 of 2 candidates read |
So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.