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TX-24 ยท Texas

Texas's 24th district: 2026 House race

Texas's 24th district is held by Beth Van Duyne (Republican). Beth Van Duyne leads in reported fundraising with $2.5M. Forecasters rate it Safe R.

2candidates in the race
$2.8Mraised by candidates in the race
REPincumbent party
Safe Rforecaster consensus
Candidates and money2 on file
Candidates
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Beth Van DuyneREPIncumbent$2.5M$1.6M$2.9M
Kevin BurgeDEMChallenger$210K$173K$37K

Ballot status: nominees as listed on Wikipedia (text under CC BY-SA), matched to FEC records by name.

Reported Source: FEC, through each candidate's latest filing. Open this race on FEC.gov

Other FEC filers (not matched to a November nominee)3
Other FEC filers
CandidatePartyStatusRaisedSpentCash
Jon BuchwaldDEMChallenger$196K$196K$0
Timothy Joe Ware IIDEMChallenger$96K$89K$705
Nathan Thomas HawksDEMChallenger$19K$19K$0

They may have lost a primary or withdrawn, or our name match may have missed them. Their records are kept for reference.

Forecasts and ratingsnational odds + who rates this race

Consensus (median of 4): Safe R Estimate

Forecaster ratings
ForecasterRatingDate listedNote
Cook Political ReportSafe R2025-02-06dated
Inside ElectionsSafe R2025-03-07dated
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe R2025-09-18dated
Decision Desk HQLikely R2026-07-14dated

Ratings are each publisher's own, compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). The date is the one listed there; a rater may have changed its call since, and “dated” means more than 45 days old. Open the forecaster for its current rating.

Prediction market

Democratic 7.0% · Republican 92.5% Estimate

Polymarket price read as a probability (the two prices need not add up to exactly 100%). Volume $63,714, snapshot 2026-10-15. Thin market: small trades can move the price. View the market · About Polymarket

Open each forecaster for its current rating and method.

National picture: Democrats 90.5% to control the House on Polymarket Estimate. See all forecasts.

Last time (2024)new map
The map changed

Texas redrew its congressional map for 2026. These results are for the district with the same number under the old lines, so they do not describe the new territory.

Beth Van Duyne won by 20.6 points, with 376,626 votes counted.

2024 result
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Beth Van DuyneRepublican227,10860.3%
Sam EpplerDemocratic149,51839.7%

Reported Results as compiled in Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), top three shown. Under the district lines used in 2024.

Who lives hereCensus survey data
District portrait
MeasureValue
Population761,741
Median age39.4
Median household income$115,964 ±$1,872
Adults 25+ with a bachelor’s degree or more54.5%
White, not Hispanic60.6%
Black, not Hispanic7.4%
Asian, not Hispanic8.7%
Hispanic or Latino (any race)18.2%
Homes lived in by their owners66.8%
People below the poverty line6.2%
Born outside the U.S.14.9%

Heads up: Texas drew a new congressional map for 2026. These figures describe the old district lines, so they will not match the people who vote in this race.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2020-2024 5-year estimates, district lines of the 119th Congress, fetched 2026-10-15. These are survey estimates with margins of error; the Bureau publishes the error for each figure.

Public attention in this race1 candidate with an article
Attention
CandidatePartyViews, 30 daysShare
Beth Van DuyneREP10,508100%

Reported English Wikipedia page views, 2026-09-14 to 2026-10-13. Only candidates with an article are counted; views show curiosity, not support.

Data on this page3/6 complete
Data coverage
DataStatusDetail
NomineesHave itlisted on Wikipedia, matched to FEC
Campaign financeHave itFEC filings through 06/30/2026
Forecaster ratingsHave it4 forecasters
Prediction marketPartialPolymarket, volume $64K
2024 resultPartialold map: the state redrew its districts
Financial disclosuresPartial1 of 2 candidates read

So you can see what we have and what we do not. Missing is never treated as zero.

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