Rating changes

Each rating on this site comes from a forecaster and has a date. Here we list the changes: when a rater moved a race from one category to another, we show it, so you can see which races are drifting and who moved first. We have kept a daily copy of every rating since 2026-10-27, and a change appears below on the day we first see it; the publisher may have made it earlier, so read the date as “first seen by us”.

We cover the 435 House races and the Senate and governor races with published ratings. The ratings are the publishers’ own; we compile them from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). A move of one step is common and often small; a move of two or more steps, or across the Toss-up line, is more notable. To see how raters differ at a single moment, open where forecasters disagree; to understand what the categories mean, read how to read forecasts.